“Free Market” at Merrill Lynch/etc really was “Free Lunch”…

December 18th, 2008

We always knew this– ppl will live up (or down) to whatever is Expected of them.

And so now, the Gov’t Regulators are belatedly realizing, ‘wow– all these mortgage traders were just focusing on short-term gains… regardless of future viability’.

Well, OF COURSE they were. Hasn’t anyone ever hung-out w/ Sales-guys, at Quarter-End? By far & away the majority of them get panic-stricken if they’re below Quota… & they aren’t thinking about their own “future viability”, let-alone of their Company. And what are mortgage traders but basically glorified Sales-guys?

And thus that’s exactly how the ‘Free Market’ works– despite all the paeans to long-term viability (““Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders’ equity, myself included, are in a state of shocked disbelief”, Alan Greenspan, once considered ‘The Oracle’, who presided over one of the longest Bull Markets ever)…

…Instead it’s very simple:

PEOPLE AREN’T INSTITUTIONS… People have their OWN “Self-Interest” in mind.

And even if many, if not most ppl don’t act to ‘take-advantage’ of ‘grey-area’ situations… those that do more than make-up the difference.

So if anyone says, “well, they didn’t know”– sure they did… just by the fact that nobody wanted to talk about how their “collateralized debt obligation” investments weren’t performing as well as expected, by mid ‘2006… and yet they still sold them as much as they could(!)

And if anyone wants to instead blame politics, ie

  • Who (forced) Fannie & Freddie to approve & back risky loans… [ie, that was passed by a Democrat Congress], -or-
  • Who actively, repeatedly campaigned Congress to do just that… [ie, Greenspan himself, a Republican and (previously) unabashed "Free Trader"... & even American Enterprise Institute's David Frum admits Bush W. campaigned banks heavily for it too], -or even-
  • Who (bypassed) the SEC guidelines allowing the ‘Big Five’ to maintain far less liquidity, ie actively encouraging them to make even more risky loans… [ie, Bush-appointed ex-trader]
  • All.That.Doesn’t.Matter. Both Parties blew it on this one!
    But regardless of who ’set-up’ the situation, nobody ‘forced’ anybody to act unethically:
    1) Nobody “forced” these traders & trading companies to create those “C.D.O.”’s, ie. actively hiding potentially risky loans, & rebranding them as AAA.
    2. Nobody “forced” the myriad lending institutions to take predatory practices, ie. mislabeling, mis-informing, & outright lying about the risks of variable-rate mortages (ARM)

    Just b/c there is potential for abuse, does not mean it’s condoned. Or are Free-Traders saying we need even more explicit laws? More detailed.. um, “Adult Supervision“?(?!)

    So the question remains:
    “Does the ‘Free Market’ really work?” ie, are these kinds of excesses & damage ‘normal’ & acceptable? That would be the logical outcome of ‘Free Market’ thinking… but I can’t find a Free Marketer who will admit that… and Greenspan just admitted quite the opposite. Really, it’s one thing to have ‘pure philosophical ideals’, & quite another to watch as economic tragedy cuts a huge swath across your Country.

    And if Free Marketers are thus admitting, “these kinds of things happen… but the Market corrects for them (eventually)”…
    …while -also- saying “this shouldn’t have happened”…

    …then basically what they’re saying is, “We Need Regulation”.

    So much for “Free Market” philosophy…

    It, just like the (small) minority who act unethically, Can’t Be Trusted.

    Repub ‘talking points’ & Intellectual Violence…

    December 4th, 2008

    Has this ever happened to you?
    You’re ‘discussing’ politics with someone of the ‘opposite persuasion’, & some (or all) of the following comes-up:

  • Bush isn’t a ‘true’ Conservative -or- Repub
    -so any (alleged) failures by him, aren’t indictments of Repubs, let-alone ‘Conservatives’
  • Obama is
    -”unknown”
    -”liar”
    -”unqualified”
    -really did “pal around w/ terrorists”
    -caused stock-market crash; the Market simply reacted in fear that he’d win
  • McCain is
    -a Liberal
    -a “Traitor” (Rush’s favorite line)
  • Clinton ruined everything
    -ruined the economy
    -hugely expanded gov’t, with massive give-aways to baby-boomer/ 60’s counterculture (ie ’socialist’) Programs
    -deregulated housing market & created the bubble
    -never went after terrorism
    -downgraded the military
    -accelerated failure of marriage -&-
    -”made a mockery of the Presidency”
    -”lied to Congress (about sex)… which is (technically) much more important than lying to American Public about WMD”
  • Reagan was faultless, indefectible, sublime…
    -everything was perfect
    -”deficits don’t matter”
    -eliminated recession
    -’gave us’ the best US economy & taxpayer/citizen wealth in 30+ years
  • Palin is awesome
    -she is/was prepared; much more than a ‘Community Organizer’
    -MSM edited her interviews to make her look bad
    -Biden is waaay more gaffe-ridden & dangerous
  • Iraq invasion was Great
    -diplomacy is weakness; ‘big stick’ is best
    -there really were WMD there, -&-
    -however well the surge worked, 4yrs in, justifies our Presence there
  • lower taxes for rich help all of us
    -stimulate economy
    -gov’t would just waste it anyway
  • Katrina is not US Gov’ts fault
    -Natural Disasters are states’ responsibility
    -Louisiana’s Governor & New Orleans’ Mayor screwed it all up, not FEMA
  • Mainstream Media (MSM) is:
    -always lying & censoring the real truth (ie, Rush, O’Reilly, Hannity, etc)
    -always Liberal, with unquestionably massive bias
    -basically stupid, de facto traitors/etc aligned with ‘our enemies’

    …& then my two ‘Favorites’:

  • Gov’t doesn’t work
    -all Gov’t failures are expected
    -Dems create more damage than repubs, are more corrupt & misguided, nottomention are all creeping Socialists/Liberal/(read: “Traitor”)/etc
    -deficits/Federal-Debt doesn’t matter — China will be happy to keep funding it, forever
    -Repubs & Conservatives are more honest, morally, ethically, fundamentally

    -& best-

  • All Politicians are liars
    -Dems & Repubs are ‘pretty-much the same’, & therefore-
    -Dems are (morally) culpable for everything Repubs (allegedly) did, b/c “they did it too, & it’ll get exposed eventually”
  • .
    So… any of this sound familiar?
    This is quite the impressive list… from ‘lightly-twisted’ interpretations of history, to outright lies… this combination of ‘talking points’ isn’t just airtight, it’s hermetically sealed.
    Nothing can penetrate this set of statements; the person (spewing) this isn’t just “well-prepared”, they’re utterly walled-off from any possible other input.
    Ladies & Gentlemen– this is called Message Discipline via doctrinal repetition, confirmation bias, & ad-hominem attack.

    Let me break-down the Repub/Conservative ‘Debate Process’:
    1) State talking-point, w/ utter confidence & authority as if it’s a-priori & beyond doubt
    2. Freely attack the personal character of not just Obama/Bill Clinton/et al, but of yours as well, for (daring) to defend them, -& always-
    3. Escalate emotion, as follows:
    (a) Their positions/statements are true, logical, & self-evident; how (dare) you question them(?!)
    (b) Claim they’re being misunderstood, mis-represented, &/or (even) victimized, if/when you respond in kind… -& then-
    (c) Outright blame you for being emotional, disingenuous, unreasonable, illogical, & ill-informed. Ie, classical projection… or rather, ‘accuse you before you can accuse them’; ie, “tap-tap no tag-backs!”.

    Rinse & repeat.

    …& what’s amazing, is I thought this would all be done after Nov 4th.
    After eight (8?!!) years of high-crimes, misdemeanors, & outright ineptness, we now can start to rebuild, right? And the repubs/conservatives[sic] will fall-back & regroup?

    Don’t you believe it– for whatever reason, Rush et al appear to be on the offensive even worse, & his DittoHeads are still going-strong… but, um, with the same talking-points from last month(?!) Earth to Rush– the Election already happened, & you lost. NO, it wasn’t some great MSM conspiracy, ‘massive voter fraud’, & NO “Fair Use” isn’t going to pull you & your wingnut brethern off the air… And yet you still persist in this nonsense.

    So it’s good for us Dems/Progressives/Liberals to be prepared: next time this happens to you, next time you get caught-up in this sequence, just stop in your tracks, disengage, & walk away.

    Why? Isn’t that ‘giving-up’? Don’t we have a (responsibility) to point-out when ppl are being lead-astray, by [fat, oxycontin-guzzling, rabble-rousing, incredibly hypocritical, smooth-talking, etcetc] unrepentant liars?

    No. Because there’s no reasoning w/ someone who thinks like this:

    1. they don’t consider this a ‘discussion’, an opportunity to trade ideas & explore different points of view;
    2. this is simply another venue for a (repub/conservative) to follow their Process, & beat-down their Opposition….
    3. By any means necessary.

      …& we Dems/Liberals/Progressives are typically Suckers for this, b/c in general–

    4. we try to Listen
    5. we try to give them the Benefit of the Doubt
    6. we (assume) the other guy/gal respects our position, or at least the possibility that we have a (valid) position

    .
    Look– it’s really simple:

  • Truths must be falsible, else they’re Beliefs.
  • But Beliefs aren’t logical; they’re simply tightly-held, despite all evidence to the contrary.

    …& anybody espousing any of the Talking Points above is coming-from Belief, rather than Fact, no matter how vociferously they spin it.

    And so next time this happens, give-up trying to find “common ground”, let-alone getting them to ‘agree’ w/ any of your points…
    …& for that matter, you might as well give-up spending any time at all ‘considering’ the Talking Points listed above… all of them have been thoroughly refuted, and to spend any time at all (re)reviewing them is just to play into their Game… & thereby erode your own confidence.

    Just. Walk. Away.
    or, if you will:
    Don’t Feed the Trolls…

    .
    FWIW– There’s a word for people who attack violently, unethically, immorally, & would rather (die) than admit defeat. They’re called “terrorists”;
    And this kind of verbal attacking, this flagrant intellectual dishonesty & willingness to stop at nothing to ‘win’, is basically “intellectual violence”.

    And the Repubs/Conservatives are extremely skilled at it… B/c God knows that’s the closest Bush, Cheney, Wolfowitz, Rummsfield, Palin… let-alone Rush, O’Reilly, Hannity, Coulter et al ever got to actually taking up a weapon & defending our Country… They’d just rather brutally slander real war heroes like Murtha, Kerry, & Max Cleland.

    I gots your #, bitches.

  • The Death of the ‘Permanent Republican Majority’

    November 5th, 2008

    …& I couldn’t be more ecstatic.

    It’s like a wet dream– could Washington, one day soon, actually start operating from Policy & Governance?
    Actual enforcement of the Law of the Land, ie the Constitution?!!
    And, dare we hope, inspirational Leadership?????

    …You mean, “West Wing” wasn’t some kind of hippy ‘limousine liberal’ fantasy…
    …You mean, we could actually see intelligent, patriotic, hard-working officials dedicated to making our Government workFor the People, By the People?!!!

    …You mean, after eight (8) long years…:

  • No more Signing Statements, undermining Constitutional Checks & Balances
  • No more blurring of Church & State… ie governance by ‘Social Conservatives’ [read: Born-Again & Moral-Majority] who never Discuss but always Condemn
  • No more ‘Compassionate Conservatives’ who are anything but compassionate -or- conservative
  • No more headlong increase in the Federal Debt
  • No more “Reagan proved that deficits don’t matter”
  • No more political appointments & sinecures to important policy posts, of completely unqualified personnel
  • No more gridlocked Congress, Republican ‘Nuclear Option’, &/or continuous fillibustering (on-target to exceed 3x more fillibusters this Congressional session, as were ever before).
  • No more ‘Reverse Robin-Hood’ tax-cuts for the rich
  • No more gutting the EPA
  • No more gutting the Consumer Product Safety Commission
  • No more ‘privatizing’ national resources
  • No more ‘no-bid’ sweetheart contracts to Halliburton/etc
  • No more ‘Go-it-Alone’ strategy on the world stage
  • No more hostility to the United Nations
  • No more “Bring it On” war-mongering
  • No more blowing-off the Kyoto Accord
  • No more Children Left Behind… & actually fund better schools, teachers, and Student Outreach this time…
  • No more mad dash to drill everywhere & start building nuclear power plants (oh sure they’re “carbon neutral”[sic]… they’ve just that teensy 1,000yr+ 1/2-life toxic waste disposal problem…)
  • No more blatant, outright lying by an Entitled Ruling Party who utterly disrespects & disregards anyone who isn’t a “Have-More”
  • No more Executive ‘Culture of Cynical Bungling’
  • No more ‘vp’ who “isn’t part of the Executive Branch”[sic]
  • No more ‘Decider’ who “goes by his gut”
  • And Most-Importantly–

  • No more Social-Conservative, Pro-Big-Business/Anti-Worker’s-Rights Activists on the Supreme Court.
  • Praise the Lord…

    ‘Still-Bush’ at the ‘Sporting Event’

    August 12th, 2008

    Dude. All he needed was the beer-bong hat, cocaine pipe, & draft deferral in his paw, & he’d be back in college (getting a C+).

    I am soooo wasted!
    “I am sooo wasted!”

    Oh man, Condi’s just gotta get me one of these!
    “Oh man, Condi’s just gotta get me one of these!”

    Practicing my ‘Cheney look’
    “Practicing my ‘Cheney look’… bet he’d love to shoot him a Panda… in the face!” :-)

    Heheheh. I could totally tap that, & they’d *still* blame Clinton!
    “Heheheh. I could totally tap that, & they’d still blame Clinton!” :-D

    NYT – Sandra Day O’Connor’s Plan for Joystick Justice

    June 5th, 2008

    Can you believe this?!

    Great. She quit the Supremes two full years early for THIS?! Does she really think that making some (guaranteed gawdawful) ‘edutainment’ software will create a huge giant wave of civic understanding, let-alone civic involvement?

    Here’s a thought– why not leverage what works. For example, make an Extension Pack on top of a currently highly-successful game, such as GTA4 (Grand Theft Auto IV) or WoW (World of Warcraft), with little SIM-like bubbles popping-up listing all the Federal & Civic codes being violated as you tool around, killing things. Fun -and- Enlightening!

    Geeze Ms O’Connor– you really want all your ex-brethren Supremes to be household names like Simon & Paula? THEY WILL– just as soon as they complete their dismantling of Roe-v-Wade. When the hoi polloi wake up & realize that the USA has just become the only “First World Nation” in which it is illegal to have an abortion, and they they have absolutely no say in the matter, the hue & outcry will be epic. Because, despite all neo-con arguments to the contrary, “Roe v. Wade did not mean that abortions could be performed. They have always been done, dating from ancient Greek days”, WALDO L. FIELDING, M.D.

    Dare we say “Impeach”– both Roberts & Alito -swore- to Congress that they were “strict Constructionists”… but it turns-out that 30yrs of Roe-v-Wade precept isn’t enough. Heck, O’Connor might actually be alive to watch -all- of her previous ’swing-vote’ decisions be dismantled.

    God.Help.Us.All.

    a ‘Goal-Setting Workshop’…

    November 16th, 2007

    …it’s that Time of the Year
    …when we’re busily juggling Family & Stress & more Family & (guilt) about New Years Resolutions long-forgotten

    …& maybe a bit of reflection-time gets squeezed-in; “am I where I thought I’d be, back when?”

    Well then– now’s a great time for a Goal-Setting Workshop!!

    It basically goes like this:
    1) find a quiet room, spare hour, & no cell phone
    2. grab a sheet of paper & pen (not pencil)
    3. sit down, & think: “what would i do, if i COULD NOT FAIL, & had INFINITE TIME & FUNDS”.
    4. now write, for the rest of the hour, -and-
    5. don’t think about “coulda/shoulda/woulda” or “i can’t” or “that’ll never happen”

    -then-
    6. finish the hour, go take a break, come back, &
    7. start separating the ideas into: “1 year from now”, “5 years”, “10 years”, “20 years”

    -and finally-
    8. pick the top ‘interesting’ idea from “1 year”, the one you’re most inspired by, & do something NOW, right that minute, specifically & physically, to start making it happen!!

    • sign-up for a class,
    • fill-out a visa/travel application,
    • google the nearest xxx & spend the rest of the day hanging out there doing yyy
    • etcetc!!

    IOW: break that “cool thing I’d like to (have) done someday” down into ‘bite-sized chunks’, & then take a big bite :-D
    It’s called “baby steps”… but you have to make that step!!

    Really– You can DO IT!!
    There’s nothing stopping you!!

    Do it TODAY!!
    Make it Real– do something tangible that you can hold in your hand, when you hit the pillow tonight… something you hadn’t woke-up this morning thinking you would do, something that you hadn’t really ever thought you could do!

    It doesn’t matter if it “makes no sense”; pay no heed to the (voices) that say, “you’ll never be able to do that”… take that first step anyway!!

    And then tomorrow, do another! And another!!
    Write-down your Goal, & your list of Steps, add target-dates on each Step, & hang it on your bedroom door, or over your mirror. You can’t believe how great it feels, when you check-off another ’step’ towards that Goal, that thing you “didn’t believe possible”.

    …& why does all this work??
    …b/c all those ‘little steps’, bit by bit, start adding-up… like ‘interest’ in your savings account, you start getting more & more ‘momentum’, more & more ‘leverage’…
    …& previously-’unreasonable’ things, ideas, start becoming more possible
    …you start saying “i can do that” more & more
    …you start realizing “hey, i already did that(?!!)” to things that you’d've previously avoided

    …you start being less “at the effect” of the events in your life, & more in the position of choosing What & Where & Why…
    …less apt to ‘put up with’ stuff you’re ‘kinda/sorta not-interested’ in, &
    lots more apt to walk-in w/ a clear, specific Goal, & not leave until you Get it…

    It’s called Purpose
    It’s called Momentum
    It’s called Success :-D

    …fwiw, i did all this in ‘94, & have gotten everything on my list so far… i’m kinda blown-away, actually.
    …we’re talking “never in a million years” stuff :-P

    & for reference, the ’steps’ above are straight out of Franklin Quest, Tony Robbins, Dale Carnegie, etcetc

      “When you are inspired by some great purpose, some extraordinary project, all your thoughts break their bonds: Your mind transcends limitations, your consciousness expands in every direction, and you find yourself in a new, great, and wonderful world. Dormant forces, faculties and talents become alive, and you discover yourself to be a greater person by far than you ever dreamed yourself to be.” –Patanjali, author of the Yoga Sutras

    …Now go out, & have a Blast!!!

    PS: If your ‘work situation’ isn’t exactly as fulfilling as it might be, you may want to check-out this post. ‘Ta!

    How can you be against “Health Care for Children”

    October 5th, 2007

    HTF can you be against health-care for children?
    …isn’t that the first rule politicians learn: nestle-up to vets & kiss the babies?
    Why not say “fuck mom & I hate apple pie”?!!

    …All those childhood years of hearing about Marie Antoinette, about how her basic obliviousness was part-&-parcel of the utter cluelessness of the French Ruling Class… how her words were totemic in galvanizing the French Revolution. And most of all, how she deserved whatever she (& the Aristocracy) got (ie, their heads separated from their necks).

    But I ask you– when somebody has no health insurance; has no ability to get to a doctor; (barely) able to get to an Emergency Room; to then wait for literally dozens of hours to be seen by harried, overworked ER doctors who are trained to deal with major trauma victims first & foremost… And then finally to almost certainly default on payment for the (understandably) premium-price that is charged by ER’s… (they are for “emergencies”, not for ‘normal medical care’; it’s in their very name!)

    …And yet Bush says: “I mean, people have access to health care in America,” he said. “After all, you just go to an emergency room.” link
    Or how about when he said last week, “they don’t need Government Health Care; they can just ask their doctor”.

    I ask you– doesn’t that sound a bit familiar?
    Someone else who has absolutely no clue about whom they were talking about? Someone born w/ a silver spoon so far down their throats they simply couldn’t conceive of lacking basic sustenance; the question was never “eat or go hungry”, but rather “eat lobster or go eat steak”:

    “Why do they need bread? Let them eat cake”

    …I wonder– As Euripides said, “Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first make mad”. Could this be, at the very last, a chance for the Dems to override a Presidential veto?????

    If that happens, that will open the floodgates… if at first a trickle, before the roar:

  • Accountability for Katrina
  • Accountability for Federal Debt
  • Accountability for Social Security lockbox raiding, -& even-
  • Accountability for Iraq
  • We can only hope.

    Hairy Potter Spoilers….

    July 22nd, 2007

    Fuuuuck.

    1. Logical inconsistencies
    2. Canonical violations
    3. Missed opportunities
    4. Long, pointless scenes that tell us nothing new
    5. Rambling misdirections mistaken for ’suspense’
    6. Seemingly arbitrary character reversals

    …plus your average features of the amateur writer:

    1. Deux ex Machina (over & over & over)
    2. “Telling not Showing”
    3. “On the nose” (ie, utterly lacking subtext; think “soap opera”. Ie, Sue says, “I’m going to Jane’s house to yell at her”. Scene: “Sue walks into Jane’s house, & starts yelling”. Gee thanks, I like my pablum well-milled.)

    ….sounds like your average fan-fic, no?

    No wait– this isn’t happening… are you trying to tell me, THAT’S HOW IT ENDS?!!!!

    Repeat after me–
    “Dear J.K… We Expected More.

    …& please don’t trot-out the hoary rationalization, “hey, these are Children’s Books, they don’t have to be Great Literature”.
    Um, here’s a quick list of “children’s books” which are enjoyed by both children and adults (& don’t suffer from that ‘list of shame’ above):

      Lord of the Rings (books and movies)
      Chronicles of Narnia
      Original Star Wars trilogy
      Xmen 1 & 2

    So wtf happened????
    Rowling got a little full of herself. This started around #4; the book suddenly tripled in size, filled w/ tons of overstuffed scenes which had been cut in #1-3… but now she was Famous & her editors got squelched.
    Rowling got a little burned-out. By #6, she was just putting in time, blithely filling her pages with “I-meant-to-do-that-all-along” & seemingly unconcerned that characters literally millions of people have grown to love, were acting in utterly uncharacteristic ways. Earth to Rowling: we love characters who are real, & feel betrayed when they’re not being themselves… & esp. when ppl like you tell us, “no, wait, this really does make sense; this is how you should think”. No it doesn’t; no we won’t.
    Rowling got Hollywood Envy. After watching ppl in a different country cut her books apart (& having her version of the screenplays summarily dismissed), she started packing her books with Hollywood Moments… Not once in the first 3 books was I thinking about movies; but come book 4, I start seeing scenes written not for character development, but for Production Value. And then by #6, it’s just pastiche of scenes & imagery directly lifted from LOTR, Xmen, & even Matrix 2, for bog’s sake.

    All in all–
    Harry Potter Jumped the Shark around book 4. #5 almost regains its footing, but #6 & #7 just disappear into the chum.

    “So what?” you ask.
    “Why all the dismay & angst?”

    People– it’s call “missed opportunities”. We wouldn’t care if none of the books were any good; there’s whole sections of bookstores filled with rows upon rows of fantasy & sci-fi which are just regurgitated, cliched pablum with shiny covers.

    But Harry #1-#3 are Quite Good; enjoyable, page-turners chock-full with the joy-of-discovery and the Wonder of a whole new, magical (literally) world to discover. Rowling created a terrific universe, & some fascinating characters to play in it. When she began, & was still full of inspiration & enthusiasm, she made something Larger than herself, & we all couldn’t wait to See What Happened Next.

    In her own way, I’d call her series the book equivalent of “Star Wars”. The first three [ie, Episodes 4, 5, 6] have their faults, sure… but are much greater than the sum of their parts, & continue to inspire Delight in both young and old. But then came “Episode 1″, & all of a sudden it felt like the author didn’t believe in the magic of the first 3, or had perhaps forgotten. Joy, wonder, discovery… all gone, substituted for some bad behavior that was more ‘turgid’ than “dark”.

    And as the characters flatten, Evil becomes hackneyed. Voldemort’s Death Eaters lose their mystery & act for all the world like board-room bureaucrats w/ petty rivalries; even Voldemort himself becomes just a johnny-one-note, “me so smart & I kill people”. This Won’t Do; the measure of a Hero is the strength, malevolence, & even brilliance of the Evil arrayed against him. In short, even a dork on a desert planet can become a Jedi Master when he’s up against a Dark Lord of the Sith, who’s very breathing sounds like the Earth is wrenching itself apart, & who commands mystical powers which can literally do just that.

    Vader was brilliant, conflicted, mysterious, & had plans upon plans (& an incredible, tragic backstory). Voldemort is a snake-eyed 1/2-sane psychopath who Just Wants to Kill Harry & screams & throws tantrums when he’s thwarted. See the difference?

    But not only does our Main Guy Potter step-back & let himself be forever ‘guided’ (even Obi Wan has to get outta the way for Luke to start to shine), but even his Guides themselves are puerile. Consider Dumbledore’s sudden new trope in #6, “me so brainy & I know what’s best for you”. No one’s ever called him “brainy” before, & now even Hagrid says it twice. Jeeesh– the frickin’ ‘partial Voldemort’ Riddle in “Chamber” had more characterization & depth than did Dumbledore in all his “I know best” & “I wish I had more time” scenes in #6 (let-alone #7, in that gawd-awful “in-the-Matrix” moment).

    …and since this is a Mostly Filmmaking blog[sic], let me just say, I pity the poor bastard who has to shoot #6.
    Ah gee, there goes Harry w/ his head in a bucket^H^H^H^H ‘pensieve’ again. “Harry the Ostrich”, watching everyone else live their lives. Watching as others do all the magic. Pissing & moaning as no one listens to him. Frozen stiff while his Mentor gets dead. Oh boo hoo I can’t play Quiddich or snog my BF’s sister. Hey, that right there’s one fascinating, dynamic, “take-the-world-by-the-horns” character to watch, isn’t it? “The Boy who Pouted”. Here’s my $10, lemme wait in line…

    At least in #5, Harry steps-up & becomes a leader, creating & training the DA, & [finally] showing that his own courage, if not magic, is worthy of awe (if not for the first time better than Hermione’s).
    But #6? Fully half the book is exposition, telling us Riddle’s life story… & it doesn’t ever tell us why he’s like who he is!!!! Um, so he’s a bitter bastard w/ a crappy childhood… Fine, just like everyone else in homeroom. And sure he wants to have everyone worship his ass… um, that’s normal teenage angst, & he already is “Best Boy” & being shortlisted for Minister. So, you’re still not telling me why does he decide to become so evil?! “Just Because?” Gee thanks!
    And does the fact that Dumbledore is to BLAME for the rise of Voldemort ever once get addressed? Discovered him, brought him to Hogwarts, sheltered him, and never warned anyone he was a vicious bastard. For fuck’s sake– that’s pretty awesome angst right there; even a crappy author with that kind of setup could make some hints about “the nature of evil” &/or “the perils of hubris”… Um, Obi-Wan & Vader, anyone?

    Worst of all– in #6 Harry is back to “I ain’t got no magic of my own”, obsessively relying on Snape’s potion-manual, & full of angst that all his powers are just leftovers from Voldemort’s curse. Is it just me, or has all the ‘character development’ from #5 kinda disappeared?

    And now w/ #7, Harry is a passive character again, lead-around by the nose, & finally defeating Voldemort on a technicality, bolstered by an 11th-hour “he’s not really dead” moment. Shit. There was more passion, action, magic, catharsis, & even character-development in Mrs. Weasley’s waxing of Bellatrix… & that took 1/2 as long.

    But I’m not bitter :-P … let me leave w/ 2 good things to say about #7:
    1) FINALLY the ‘good guys’ don’t have to be frickin’ victims all the time. #4-6 were like paeons to “evil guys get all the fun”, while the good guys just get caught, punished, tortured, & have crappy useless spells to protect them. In #7, the good guys finally let fly w/ some righteous magic, if not some of the 7 Unforgiveable’s.
    2. Dumbledore is redeemed… however tacked-on & 1/2-assed the explanation, at least he’s not going-out as a whiny bitch blown over a battlement.

    IN CONCLUSION:
    There’s a fucking difference between characters with “shades of grey”, and inconsistent, cliched, amateurish writing.

    I’m only pissed at myself that I didn’t have the sand to toss the book aside a la Dorothy Parker, when by page 30 the Big Reveal of the trussed-up person turned-out to be an inconsequential nobody, while meanwhile absolutely zero character development has happened. At least in #6, by that point we knew Snape was “bound” to do something nasty; here they’re all gibbering at a table, “we so evil”, & “here’s exactly what’s gonna happen next chapter”. That’s pretty great suspense, right there.

    I never watched Matrix 3, nor Xmen 3, nor Aliens 3. I Knew Better, & steered clear… & thereby still am able to love Matrix 1, Xmen 1 & 2, & Aliens 1 & 2.
    I wish I’d done the same w/ “Star Wars Episode 1,2,3″… they’re so awful they caused blow-back in my brain, & made me question if the original “Star Wars” (ep’s 4,5,6) were that good after all. But whew– they were.

    And here? I wish I’d never read #6 or #7… I could leave w/ the idea of Harry swearing at the cruel world, & heading off into the forest to practice his Art & to one day re-emerge & tear Voldemort down. No pensieve bullshit, no “let me ask everyone else what I should do”, no pseudo-mystical ‘coming back from the dead’ & ‘this has all happened before’ bored network-writer’esque cop-outs I’ve seen before on “Matrix 2″ & “Alias”…

    …just a straight “you killed my father, prepare to die”.
    Sounds like a terrific fucking movie, right there.

    An Ode to ‘Magical Thinking’

    July 12th, 2007

    Quick now– what do Tiger Woods, Michael Jordan, Bruce Jenner, Jimmy Connors, Arthur Ashe, etc etc have in common??
    They visualize.

    And not just “Oh I hope I’m gonna win” kinda visualization…
    we’re talking systematic, strategic, detailed, intricate, point-by-point visualization. Tiger even admits to visualizing his complete swing, from beginning to end, multiple times before he even lays hands on the club.
    Or how about your average church-goer? Praying for what they want, & if the [few] churches I’ve attended are any indicator, there’s often feedback “Please pray for the sick of our parish” & kudos for who’s shown recovery from last week (I prefer Fr. Michael’s joke, “what about the sick of the parish?”).
    It’s clear that, if nothing else, belief via visualization &/or prayer is actively done by myriad very successful top performers, if not weekly church-goers. So the question is, how did all this get systematically categorized as ‘myth’, & the term “magical thinking” loosely translate as “bullsh*t”.

    Somewhere in the last few years (perhaps synchronized w/ Bush 2’s presidency?) there has been a systematic attack on anything not deemed kosher by churches… eg, evolution, ’secular humanism’, & that immense whipping-generation of the far right: “the 60’s”.

    And yet, ask any down-in-the-trenches scientist, often called ‘technicians’ (because they gain their living actually doing the work rather than publishing papers about it), & they agree– postulates determine the conclusion. An immense number of ‘common sense’ & ‘widely known’ scientific “laws” aren’t so ‘eternal’ & self-evident, you know– not too long ago, “everybody knew” the world was flat & the sun orbited us… & ppl were tortured (or ridiculed, refused publishing, etc) for believing otherwise. Or how about all the “absolutely wrong” claims about meridians in the body, how the blood has ‘tides’ in sync with the moon just as the oceans do, or that open-skull (let-alone open-heart) surgery can be done with only a few accupuncture needles? All these were “hogwash” to scientific journals up to mid 20th Century… and yet are accepted “scientific fact” now.

    Now, did the occurrences change? Nope. So why are they suddenly “true”? Actually, they always were true; just the Authorities hadn’t decided to Believe them yet.

    So let’s explore what ‘Belief’ means. “Belief”, according to top philosopher W.V. Quine, is knowledge unquestioned, which has attained that status after rigorous testing, a la scientific method (hypothesis, deduction, experiment, etc). Which sounds pretty rigorous, and Quine is careful to show how this works in ‘normal’ people too, not just scientists. And yet, funny how Quine’s ultimate summation in The Web of Belief was this: “knowledge turns into [unquestioned] belief when the grounds of satisfaction are realized”.

    So even a master philosopher, whose books are unparalleled in the field, recognizes the point– all of our scientific method, of building & testing hypotheses, still turn on a single, non-objective process: “are we satisfied”.

    And so yes, it’s currently fashionable to slam “magical thinking” as thoughts, actions, beliefs about the outcome of an event, which have nothing to do and/or no effect on that outcome.

    All I ask are two things:

  • spend an equal amount of time considering the opposite case. Ie, “could all those highly-successful, peak performers be ‘completely wrong’?”
  • try (visualization, positive affirmations, etc) yourself, with an open mind. Ie, don’t do them “knowing that they won’t work”.
  • …b/c if nothing else, you might experience something you haven’t expected, ie something ‘new’, which is always a blast. The thrill of discovery is the hallmark of a mind that is able to learn.
    …& more-importantly, by not “knowing that the outcome will be false”, perhaps you’ll avoid employing some ‘magical thinking’ (ironically enough) of your own :-P .

    Check out every single tennis, golf, etc “how-to” book. They all employ visualization. Scroll-up & re-read that list of top performers… they all swear by visualization. So why not try it, & see if it makes any difference to your own attempts to train behavior.

    Oh & btw– of the many experiences I’ve had with the “power of visualization”, let me list one: after shattering my tibia, I was told in no uncertain terms by two different doctors: “thigh-high cast for 6 weeks, & then ankle cast for another 6 weeks”. I didn’t like this scenario, & visualized up a storm, using techniques from “Zen in the Martial Arts“… & was walking, sans cast, in 5 weeks.

    Call it “magical thinking”, if you will… I like the doctor’s version: “how the heck did you do that?”

    Dunno. It Just Works.

    SF 2007 48Hr Film Fest!!!

    June 27th, 2007

    Hey– our 7minute film premiered at the San Francisco 48Hour Film Fest last nite, & it rocked!!. We got a ton of applause, laughter (at the right parts), & congrats’ afterwards…

    So while it’s fresh, here’s a bit of hard-won wisdom[sic]:

    Pre-production:
    1) get clear roles assigned, w/ lines-of-command & deliverables
    2. test test test your equipment first to confirm everything works together (computers, mics etc)
    3. try to do a ‘dress rehearsal’, ie “mini fest” of 5hrs or so, from (mini) script to playing it on a tv, to see how everyone does under pressure, & get everyone familiar w/ their roles, tools, & what’s expected of them.
    4. let the writer(s) Do Their Thing… try to not inflict them w/ your ‘good ideas’ until they ask for them, but do step-in & point-out when any of the following get lost in the mix:

  • From the first page, & on each page following, we should always know: “What is Happening -and- Why do I Care?”
  • Start quickly, & End w/ a Bang. There’s no time for ‘Deep Thoughts’ in a short film…
  • Simple & funny is always much better than long & involved… this includes # of characters, subplots, character arcs, anti-climaxes, etc etc.
  • Leave VO (voiceover) as your Method of Last Resort to fix a film which doesn’t make sense. It’s waaay too easy to make crappy VO which “tells you what to think” & completely cheapens your film…
  • Production:
    1) get a ’set boss’ (AD? Producer?) who manages traffic, & keeps (numbnuts) from walking thru shots, etc.
    2. iron-out workflow (slates? continuity-girl? script-boy? “who can call ‘cut’?” does Director need to watch a monitor or camera LCD screen? does Producer?) *before* the shoot
    3. “the set works best when it is optimized for allowing the actors to *be* their parts. Anything/everything that distracts from the actors giving real moments *must* be ruthlessly pruned if you want to capture anything of value”.

  • This is HELL when *everyone* has ‘great ideas’[sic] & just Has to come running-up & give their $.02 {see #1}
  • OTOH– ignoring everyone’s ideas will definitely lose you out on great in-the-moment inspirations which are the lifeblood of a truly creative set (I typically get 30%+ of my best stuff thru in-the-moment inspiration).
  • also: Tape is Cheap. Keep the camera rolling, thru rehearsals, thru ‘blown takes’, etc. Encourage the actors to just say ‘rhutabega rhutabega’ & keep rolling into a second take– if you don’t call “cut!”, they won’t have to re-find their flow, & you’ll find they give you better stuff, faster. This does mean your Editor needs to look at *everything*… which in a 1-day shoot, shouldn’t be more than 2 tapes anyway.
  • 4. “Shoot for the Edit”. Check-out the “10-Minute Film School” by Robert Rodriguez in the Bonus Features for “El Mariachi” — eg, shoot w/ transitions in mind, get cutaways, & you can grab multiple ’shots’ in a single take, if you change focal lengths, move the camera, etc. Note: this kind of [compressed] shooting only works if your editor is on board; if the editor isn’t flexible, they’ll just see ‘disjointed shots’ & won’t know what to do w/ them…

    Post-Production:
    1) while editor is doing their thing, let the cast/crew watch the dailies. That keeps morale up
    2. editor: mark/subclip the *great* moments, the ones that make you blink, laugh, or feel… & make sure they stay in the final edit
    3. cut together sequences, starting w/ the easiest and/or most fun. Show this sequence to a few of the above-the-line Team, & it will get everyone amped, & engender some good ideas
    4. let the editor assemble ‘their version’ first, & then let the director give notes. Nobody can create worth a damn w/ someone watching over their shoulder…
    5. edit in ‘passes’: rough assembly, then dialogue intercutting, then soundtrack, special FX, color-correction, etc. Eg don’t waste time on color-correction if your audio has holes in it (guilty! :-0)
    6. make sure not to cut-out the [special line, prompt, dialogue, etc]!!!
    7. leave time for a ’sanity check’ viewing, w/ (new) viewers… they’ll tell you what you missed

    -and finally-
    8. cut the film you’ve made, *not* the one it “said in the script”. You can’t create shots that don’t exist, but you can cut to heighten performances, or diminish now-unneeded story beats or character moments. Don’t be surprised if the final film only passably matches the script… Doesn’t matter, if the film *works*.

    …Hope that helps, & See you at the Movies!!!